Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/3 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+79.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 8 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 24,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +65.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -18.2 | -8.2 | -6.8 | +33.3 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 13% | 17% | 18% | 52% | +0.3 | +19.6 | -0.8 | -19.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 32% | 19% | 35% | -10.9 | +32.7 | -10.6 | -11.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 61% | 11% | 20% | +5.6 | -1.2 | -2.5 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 10% | 61% | 10% | 20% | -13.8 | -2.1 | +16.8 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 6% | 58% | 16% | 20% | -3.3 | -13.8 | +16.8 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 43% | 30% | 22% | -1.6 | -2.5 | +6.7 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 40% | 34% | 21% | -2.0 | -2.9 | +5.9 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 7 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 37% | 39% | 20% | -2.8 | -2.8 | -1.9 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 8 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 24,000 | 4% | 34% | 38% | 24% | -13.0 | -24.3 | -27.7 | +65.0 |
| East 4, 9 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 6% | 7% | 87% | +0.1 | -13.2 | +15.3 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Kanako Maruyama | 1% | 3% | 11% | 86% | -3.7 | +0.3 | -6.8 | +10.1 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 2% | 4% | 95% | -2.3 | -8.0 | +0.1 | +10.2 |
| South 3 | Kanako Maruyama ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -13.3 | -1.0 | +15.1 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | +8.5 | +0.5 | -10.5 | +1.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.6 | +2.6 | -3.4 | +0.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +9.8 | -1.3 | +1.2 | -9.7 |