Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/3 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+79.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 8 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 24,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +64.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -16.6 | -8.1 | -6.5 | +31.2 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 13% | 20% | 18% | 50% | +0.4 | +16.3 | +0.5 | -17.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 32% | 19% | 34% | -12.2 | +32.1 | -9.4 | -10.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 7% | 60% | 12% | 21% | +5.9 | -2.2 | -2.2 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 5,800 from Uotani Yuumi | 9% | 58% | 11% | 22% | -13.4 | 0.0 | +14.8 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 5% | 58% | 17% | 20% | -4.0 | -13.9 | +16.8 | +1.1 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Draw | 5% | 43% | 30% | 23% | -1.3 | -3.9 | +9.4 | -4.2 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Draw | 5% | 39% | 38% | 19% | -0.3 | -0.3 | +1.7 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 7 honba | Draw | 5% | 38% | 38% | 19% | -3.7 | -2.5 | -2.0 | +8.2 |
| East 4, 8 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 24,000 | 4% | 35% | 37% | 24% | -12.9 | -24.6 | -26.5 | +64.0 |
| East 4, 9 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 7% | 7% | 85% | -0.6 | -13.8 | +15.3 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 1% | 3% | 11% | 86% | -3.4 | -0.9 | -5.6 | +9.9 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 2% | 4% | 94% | -1.8 | -7.1 | -1.5 | +10.4 |
| South 3 | Maruyama Kanako ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -13.4 | -1.3 | +15.7 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | +8.0 | +0.8 | -10.1 | +1.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.8 | +2.3 | -4.1 | +1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +9.8 | -1.2 | +1.8 | -10.4 |