Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/3 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+54.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +61.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +2.1 | +1.2 | -4.7 | +1.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Jun Murakami | 25% | 28% | 21% | 26% | -14.5 | -1.6 | +14.0 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 17% | 25% | 31% | 26% | -1.9 | -22.5 | +22.2 | +2.2 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 2,700 | 13% | 11% | 49% | 27% | +15.8 | -5.9 | -7.5 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 3,200 from Yudai Maehara | 24% | 9% | 41% | 26% | +8.4 | -7.1 | +1.1 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 7% | 43% | 23% | -11.6 | +18.5 | -1.7 | -5.3 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 21% | 15% | 43% | 21% | +29.2 | -25.8 | -2.2 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 46% | 2% | 35% | 17% | -34.5 | -4.3 | -2.0 | +40.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 0% | 29% | 59% | +1.4 | -3.6 | +0.9 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 0% | 29% | 60% | +61.1 | -2.9 | -9.5 | -48.7 |