Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/3 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+54.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +60.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +3.9 | +1.5 | -7.6 | +2.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Murakami Jun | 27% | 26% | 20% | 27% | -16.3 | +0.1 | +13.4 | +2.8 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 16% | 27% | 28% | 29% | -1.0 | -23.4 | +22.5 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 11% | 47% | 28% | +12.5 | -3.6 | -4.1 | -4.8 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 3,200 from Maehara Yudai | 20% | 11% | 45% | 24% | +11.4 | -8.4 | -0.1 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 7% | 44% | 21% | -13.5 | +17.7 | -1.4 | -2.9 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 20% | 14% | 44% | 21% | +29.8 | -26.6 | -1.7 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 46% | 1% | 36% | 17% | -34.6 | -3.1 | -3.2 | +40.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 12% | 0% | 29% | 59% | +2.1 | -3.6 | 0.0 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 0% | 28% | 60% | +60.7 | -3.0 | -9.0 | -48.7 |