Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/5 Game 1

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+61.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +42.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Yuumi Uotani● Akina Mizuhara● Sho Shiratori● Saki Kurosawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yuumi● Akina● Sho● Saki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAkina Mizuhara
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Saki Kurosawa
1st-place chance
Akina Mizuhara
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Saki Kurosawa
Expected pt change
East 1Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori26%25%24%25%-3.6-10.4-0.2+14.1
East 2Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara22%18%24%36%-2.5-1.9+5.0-0.7
East 3Exhaustive draw20%17%28%35%+7.6-0.7-4.9-2.0
East 4, 1 honbaSho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara26%16%24%34%-12.6+10.8+0.3+1.5
South 1Exhaustive draw19%22%24%36%-2.5+0.3+0.3+1.9
South 2, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 1,300 from Sho Shiratori16%23%24%37%-0.9-14.5+11.6+3.7
South 3Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,00015%13%32%41%-15.2-10.5+42.6-16.9
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw2%2%83%13%-1.3-1.0+5.9-3.6
South 3, 2 honbaSho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara1%1%91%8%-22.3+29.5-0.5-6.7
South 4Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,0000%1%92%7%-2.6+14.5+2.1-14.0

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)