Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/5 Game 1

Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+61.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +44.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Uotani Yuumi● Mizuhara Akina● Shiratori Sho● Kurosawa Saki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Uotani● Mizuhara● Shiratori● Kurosawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMizuhara Akina
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Mizuhara Akina
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
East 1Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho26%24%25%26%-1.6-9.8-1.3+12.7
East 2Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina23%18%24%35%-4.0-2.2+2.9+3.4
East 3Draw21%16%25%38%+8.0-2.6-2.5-2.9
East 4, 1 honbaShiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina27%15%22%36%-14.4+13.4+0.8+0.2
South 1Draw17%23%24%36%+0.1-2.6-0.5+3.0
South 2, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 1,300 from Shiratori Sho17%21%24%39%-2.1-11.9+10.8+3.2
South 3Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,00016%12%30%42%-15.2-10.5+44.3-18.6
South 3, 1 honbaDraw2%2%84%13%-1.9-0.9+5.7-3.0
South 3, 2 honbaShiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina1%1%90%9%-21.5+29.8+0.4-8.7
South 4Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,0000%1%93%6%-3.1+14.1+1.3-12.4

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)