Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/5 Game 2

Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+77.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +24.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Go Kobayashi● Masato Hagiwara● Yuumi Uotani● Aiko Hinata0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Go● Masato● Yuumi● Aiko
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMasato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Aiko Hinata
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Aiko Hinata
Expected pt change
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
East 1Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara24%26%26%23%-22.7-0.6-1.5+24.8
East 2Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,00011%23%24%42%-2.7-15.2-4.1+22.0
East 3Exhaustive draw8%11%17%64%-2.9+0.4-5.5+7.9
East 4, 1 honbaGo Kobayashi ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani6%10%11%74%+1.6-17.3+1.3+14.4
East 4, 2 honbaGo Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Masato Hagiwara4%3%7%86%-4.1-1.5+0.9+4.7
East 4, 3 honbaMasato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata2%3%6%90%+12.30.0-12.5+0.3
South 1Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,0003%2%3%92%-5.8-4.4-0.7+10.9
South 2Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,0000%1%1%98%-14.5+32.7-13.7-4.5
South 2, 1 honbaMasato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata0%3%1%96%+24.0-5.7-19.8+1.4
South 3Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,0000%0%0%99%-4.1+11.2-6.6-0.5
South 4Exhaustive draw0%0%0%100%-1.5+2.5+0.7-1.6

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)