Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/5 Game 2

Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+77.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +22.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kobayashi Go● Hagiwara Masato● Uotani Yuumi● Hinata Aiko0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kobayashi● Hagiwara● Uotani● Hinata
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Hinata Aiko
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Hinata Aiko
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
East 1Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato27%24%25%24%-23.5-2.1+2.9+22.7
East 2Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,00011%21%26%42%-3.8-10.0-8.3+22.1
East 3Draw7%13%17%63%-3.4-1.1-4.5+9.0
East 4, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi6%9%11%74%+2.3-17.3+0.7+14.3
East 4, 2 honbaKobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Hagiwara Masato3%3%7%86%-4.5-1.0+0.7+4.7
East 4, 3 honbaHagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko2%3%6%89%+15.5-2.3-13.9+0.7
South 1Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,0003%2%2%93%-8.6-1.9+0.5+10.1
South 2Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,0000%1%1%98%-15.1+31.7-12.9-3.8
South 2, 1 honbaHagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko0%2%0%97%+25.1-5.6-20.5+1.1
South 3Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,0000%0%0%99%-3.9+11.2-6.4-0.9
South 4Draw0%0%0%100%-2.0+3.0+0.6-1.6

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)