Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/5 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+77.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +24.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 24% | 26% | 26% | 23% | -22.7 | -0.6 | -1.5 | +24.8 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 23% | 24% | 42% | -2.7 | -15.2 | -4.1 | +22.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 11% | 17% | 64% | -2.9 | +0.4 | -5.5 | +7.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani | 6% | 10% | 11% | 74% | +1.6 | -17.3 | +1.3 | +14.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Masato Hagiwara | 4% | 3% | 7% | 86% | -4.1 | -1.5 | +0.9 | +4.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 2% | 3% | 6% | 90% | +12.3 | 0.0 | -12.5 | +0.3 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 2% | 3% | 92% | -5.8 | -4.4 | -0.7 | +10.9 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -14.5 | +32.7 | -13.7 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 3% | 1% | 96% | +24.0 | -5.7 | -19.8 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -4.1 | +11.2 | -6.6 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.5 | +2.5 | +0.7 | -1.6 |