Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/6 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +34.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 23% | 26% | 27% | +6.9 | -1.0 | -3.2 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 24% | 24% | 24% | -17.6 | +34.6 | -8.8 | -8.2 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 50% | 17% | 17% | -1.6 | +8.6 | -6.7 | -0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 59% | 13% | 15% | -8.6 | -17.5 | -8.9 | +35.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 10% | 38% | 10% | 41% | -3.3 | -2.2 | +7.1 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 38% | 13% | 40% | +0.6 | -3.3 | +3.6 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 34% | 14% | 41% | -7.6 | +30.1 | -14.2 | -8.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 4% | 65% | 5% | 26% | +6.9 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -5.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Sawazaki Makoto | 7% | 68% | 6% | 20% | -14.2 | +15.1 | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 86% | 2% | 12% | -3.1 | -2.5 | -0.8 | +6.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 84% | 2% | 14% | +0.1 | +5.9 | -5.7 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 92% | 0% | 8% | -9.4 | +2.2 | +14.8 | -7.5 |