Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/6 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+78.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,200 from Okada Sayaka | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -2.1 | +0.2 | -7.3 | +9.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 26% | 19% | 33% | -2.5 | +4.9 | +0.4 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 21% | 29% | 20% | 29% | +0.7 | -13.0 | +12.1 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,300 from Katsumata Kenji | 22% | 20% | 27% | 32% | +1.9 | +3.1 | -0.3 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 21% | 28% | 28% | -11.0 | -11.5 | -14.1 | +36.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 11% | 14% | 61% | +11.3 | -3.8 | -1.9 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 3,000 | 19% | 11% | 14% | 56% | +11.0 | -1.4 | -6.0 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 28% | 11% | 11% | 51% | +24.4 | -18.8 | -0.9 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 4% | 9% | 39% | +29.8 | -5.2 | -9.5 | -15.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,100 | 82% | 2% | 3% | 13% | -1.4 | -3.8 | -0.7 | +5.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 83% | 1% | 2% | 14% | +2.0 | +0.5 | +2.4 | -5.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 86% | 1% | 2% | 12% | +0.3 | +29.7 | -27.3 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 87% | 3% | 1% | 10% | -1.1 | -3.8 | -11.4 | +16.2 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,500 | 83% | 0% | 0% | 17% | +6.2 | +0.3 | -3.5 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 91% | 0% | 0% | 10% | +8.9 | -0.7 | -1.5 | -6.7 |