Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/6 Game 2

Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+78.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +29.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Sasaki Hisato● Suzuki Taro● Okada Sayaka● Katsumata Kenji0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Sasaki● Suzuki● Okada● Katsumata
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
East 1Katsumata Kenji ron 3,200 from Okada Sayaka25%26%23%25%-2.1+0.2-7.3+9.2
East 2Draw23%26%19%33%-2.5+4.9+0.4-2.7
East 2, 1 honbaOkada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro21%29%20%29%+0.7-13.0+12.1+0.3
East 3Suzuki Taro ron 1,300 from Katsumata Kenji22%20%27%32%+1.9+3.1-0.3-4.6
East 4Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,00023%21%28%28%-11.0-11.5-14.1+36.7
East 4, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 4,00014%11%14%61%+11.3-3.8-1.9-5.5
South 1Sasaki Hisato tsumo 3,00019%11%14%56%+11.0-1.4-6.0-3.6
South 1, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro28%11%11%51%+24.4-18.8-0.9-4.6
South 1, 2 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 12,00049%4%9%39%+29.8-5.2-9.5-15.1
South 1, 3 honbaKatsumata Kenji tsumo 1,10082%2%3%13%-1.4-3.8-0.7+5.9
South 2Draw83%1%2%14%+2.0+0.5+2.4-5.0
South 2, 1 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka86%1%2%12%+0.3+29.7-27.3-2.7
South 2, 2 honbaKatsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka87%3%1%10%-1.1-3.8-11.4+16.2
South 3Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,50083%0%0%17%+6.2+0.3-3.5-3.0
South 4Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,00091%0%0%10%+8.9-0.7-1.5-6.7

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)