Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/9 Game 2

Fujisaki Satoshi finished 1st (+78.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Fujisaki Satoshi's expected points by +42.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance	Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance	Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance	Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance	Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change	Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change	Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change	Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change
East 1	Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki	25%	26%	24%	25%	-2.4	+0.2	+7.4	-5.1
East 2	Draw	21%	26%	29%	23%	-1.8	+4.3	-2.8	+0.2
East 2, 1 honba	Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 6,400	22%	29%	27%	22%	-3.0	-15.7	+24.2	-5.5
East 3	Draw	19%	16%	46%	19%	-0.7	-1.9	+4.5	-1.9
East 3, 1 honba	Draw	17%	15%	51%	17%	-2.6	-5.4	+4.0	+4.1
East 3, 2 honba	Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000	15%	12%	55%	18%	-11.0	+42.1	-21.3	-9.8
East 4	Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi	11%	42%	33%	14%	-24.5	-2.8	-3.3	+30.6
East 4, 1 honba	Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi	4%	38%	28%	30%	-1.4	-5.9	-0.2	+7.6
East 4, 2 honba	Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 1,100	3%	32%	28%	37%	+0.4	-1.1	+6.2	-5.5
South 1	Fujisaki Satoshi ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi	4%	31%	34%	31%	-15.6	+20.3	-3.4	-1.3
South 2	Draw	0%	49%	25%	25%	-1.2	-0.6	+7.2	-5.3
South 3, 1 honba	Draw	0%	50%	29%	20%	+1.8	+4.3	+0.6	-6.7
South 3, 2 honba	Fujisaki Satoshi ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro	0%	56%	29%	15%	-0.4	+29.2	-31.6	+2.8
South 4	Kurosawa Saki ron 5,800 from Kondo Seiichi	0%	95%	1%	5%	-6.7	-1.7	-4.7	+13.1
South 4, 1 honba	Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 8,000	0%	91%	0%	9%	-2.2	+12.6	-3.0	-7.4

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)