Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/9 Game 2

Satoshi Fujisaki finished 1st (+78.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Satoshi Fujisaki's expected points by +43.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance	Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance	Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance	Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance	Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change	Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change	Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change	Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change
East 1	Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa	26%	24%	27%	23%	-2.4	+1.2	+4.8	-3.7
East 2	Exhaustive draw	23%	24%	30%	23%	-1.5	+2.3	-3.6	+2.8
East 2, 1 honba	Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 6,400	21%	25%	28%	25%	-5.6	-12.9	+25.0	-6.5
East 3	Exhaustive draw	17%	15%	49%	18%	+2.2	-1.7	+2.3	-2.8
East 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	18%	14%	50%	17%	-3.7	-5.0	+4.8	+3.9
East 3, 2 honba	Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000	15%	12%	55%	19%	-9.0	+43.6	-22.4	-12.2
East 4	Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo	12%	45%	30%	13%	-27.9	-3.8	-1.3	+32.9
East 4, 1 honba	Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki	3%	38%	28%	30%	+0.4	-6.8	+0.4	+6.0
East 4, 2 honba	Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 1,100	3%	31%	30%	36%	-1.9	-0.6	+6.3	-3.8
South 1	Satoshi Fujisaki ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo	3%	31%	34%	32%	-14.3	+23.4	-6.3	-2.8
South 2	Exhaustive draw	0%	53%	23%	24%	-0.6	-2.9	+7.8	-4.3
South 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	0%	50%	29%	21%	+1.2	+3.0	+1.8	-6.0
South 3, 2 honba	Satoshi Fujisaki ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi	0%	55%	29%	16%	+0.4	+29.8	-31.9	+1.8
South 4	Saki Kurosawa ron 5,800 from Seiichi Kondo	0%	94%	0%	6%	-7.1	-1.1	-4.6	+12.8
South 4, 1 honba	Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 8,000	0%	91%	0%	9%	-2.0	+12.4	-2.9	-7.4

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)