Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 24,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +57.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 24,000 | 26% | 27% | 22% | 25% | +57.1 | -20.3 | -17.2 | -19.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 73% | 9% | 9% | 9% | -5.4 | +11.4 | -1.7 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 14% | 9% | 8% | -2.6 | -11.2 | +19.5 | -5.8 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 68% | 9% | 16% | 7% | +0.5 | +3.9 | -3.7 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 71% | 9% | 13% | 7% | +2.2 | +0.6 | +11.0 | -13.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 74% | 8% | 16% | 2% | +4.6 | -3.8 | -0.2 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Murakami Jun | 78% | 5% | 14% | 2% | -0.9 | -5.2 | +6.1 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 79% | 4% | 15% | 2% | +2.0 | -8.3 | +6.8 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 82% | 0% | 16% | 2% | +6.7 | +10.5 | -13.7 | -3.4 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 97% | 0% | 1% | 1% | +6.4 | -0.8 | +2.3 | -7.9 |