Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 24,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +55.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 24,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +55.5 | -17.7 | -19.6 | -18.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 72% | 10% | 9% | 10% | -4.0 | +10.0 | -2.6 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 14% | 9% | 8% | -2.3 | -10.9 | +17.7 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 68% | 9% | 15% | 7% | +0.9 | +5.5 | -1.7 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 71% | 10% | 12% | 7% | +2.2 | -0.6 | +10.5 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 74% | 8% | 16% | 2% | +4.6 | -2.0 | -1.5 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Jun Murakami | 79% | 6% | 13% | 2% | -0.8 | -6.7 | +7.8 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 79% | 4% | 15% | 2% | +2.0 | -8.8 | +6.6 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 83% | 0% | 16% | 1% | +6.3 | +10.5 | -14.1 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 97% | 0% | 1% | 1% | +6.6 | -0.9 | +2.7 | -8.3 |