Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/10 Game 2

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +32.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shiratori Sho● Hori Shingo● Takizawa Kazunori● Suzuki Taro0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Hori● Takizawa● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHori Shingo
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
East 1Draw26%24%25%25%-4.3+6.8-1.3-1.2
East 2, 1 honbaDraw22%28%25%25%+5.4-6.6+2.5-1.3
East 3, 2 honbaSuzuki Taro tsumo 2,70027%24%26%24%-3.8-0.5-6.7+11.0
East 4Draw23%24%21%32%+8.3-1.4-2.5-4.4
South 1, 1 honbaHori Shingo tsumo 3,90030%23%20%28%+18.1-8.6-3.1-6.4
South 1, 2 honbaShiratori Sho tsumo 8,00045%16%18%20%-16.7+32.0-9.5-5.9
South 2Shiratori Sho ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro29%41%12%19%-5.6+13.6+2.8-10.8
South 2, 1 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori21%56%12%12%-0.2+1.8-18.6+17.0
South 3Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo17%60%5%17%-3.9+15.2-7.6-3.7
South 4Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro5%84%1%10%+6.0+11.9-2.4-15.6

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)