Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/10 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -4.0 | +6.8 | -1.2 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 30% | 25% | 25% | +6.2 | -6.4 | +2.6 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -1.7 | -2.5 | -7.1 | +11.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 23% | 20% | 32% | +7.5 | -2.0 | -1.3 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 3,900 | 30% | 22% | 20% | 28% | +19.5 | -9.2 | -4.3 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 15% | 16% | 21% | -18.7 | +32.8 | -9.1 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki | 29% | 39% | 13% | 19% | -3.9 | +13.9 | +0.7 | -10.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 22% | 55% | 12% | 11% | -1.8 | +2.2 | -16.8 | +16.4 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 17% | 59% | 6% | 18% | -2.8 | +15.9 | -7.8 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 4% | 86% | 0% | 10% | +5.4 | +11.2 | -2.2 | -14.4 |