Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/12 Game 1
Wakutsu Akira finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Wakutsu Akira tsumo 16,000, which moved Wakutsu Akira's expected points by +57.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -19.3 | +32.9 | -6.5 | -7.1 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 52% | 18% | 18% | +0.1 | -10.7 | +9.1 | +1.5 |
| East 3 | Wakutsu Akira ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 42% | 25% | 20% | -3.2 | -2.0 | -4.6 | +9.9 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 40% | 21% | 27% | -1.6 | -21.7 | +25.7 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 22% | 44% | 23% | -11.4 | +13.8 | -1.2 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 4% | 31% | 42% | 23% | +0.2 | -31.3 | +31.6 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 3% | 84% | 12% | -10.0 | -9.0 | -38.7 | +57.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 10% | 90% | -2.9 | +2.5 | -2.1 | +2.5 |