Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/12 Game 1
Akira Wakutsu finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Akira Wakutsu tsumo 16,000, which moved Akira Wakutsu's expected points by +56.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 22% | 25% | 27% | -18.5 | +34.8 | -7.8 | -8.5 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada | 13% | 51% | 18% | 18% | -0.9 | -10.9 | +9.5 | +2.3 |
| East 3 | Akira Wakutsu ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 13% | 41% | 25% | 21% | -3.8 | -2.0 | -5.4 | +11.2 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 11% | 40% | 21% | 27% | -1.1 | -24.1 | +26.5 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 20% | 43% | 26% | -11.9 | +17.2 | -1.7 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 4% | 32% | 42% | 23% | -0.6 | -32.0 | +32.4 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 3% | 83% | 12% | -9.4 | -8.9 | -38.7 | +56.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 9% | 90% | -2.2 | +2.3 | -2.2 | +2.2 |