Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+58.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +34.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +2.0 | -1.8 | +2.0 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 27% | 23% | +4.9 | +1.4 | -6.0 | -0.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 1,100 | 29% | 25% | 23% | 23% | -5.7 | +0.4 | -5.0 | +10.3 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 24% | 27% | 19% | 30% | +0.1 | +3.6 | -5.7 | +2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 25% | 27% | 16% | 32% | +0.7 | -14.2 | +11.3 | +2.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 18% | 23% | 35% | -2.0 | -3.5 | +5.1 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 16% | 26% | 34% | -3.6 | +2.1 | +4.2 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 17% | 30% | 32% | -3.4 | +3.4 | +3.3 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 18% | 32% | 30% | +2.5 | +5.4 | -5.2 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 22% | 28% | 28% | -14.4 | -14.5 | -13.5 | +42.4 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 10% | 14% | 67% | -8.5 | +19.3 | -5.6 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 18% | 12% | 63% | +5.9 | -2.5 | -2.9 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani | 9% | 19% | 10% | 62% | +27.3 | -25.5 | -1.2 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 8% | 10% | 61% | +34.8 | -8.7 | -9.0 | -17.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Jun Murakami ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 56% | 5% | 6% | 34% | +13.5 | -6.5 | -1.7 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 71% | 2% | 4% | 23% | -5.5 | +12.5 | -6.1 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 69% | 5% | 3% | 23% | -0.9 | -0.1 | +4.0 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 69% | 5% | 4% | 22% | +7.4 | -7.6 | +1.4 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 80% | 0% | 4% | 15% | -1.8 | -4.2 | +3.1 | +2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 5,200 | 78% | 0% | 4% | 18% | -3.0 | -1.6 | -9.7 | +14.3 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami | 73% | 0% | 0% | 27% | +9.3 | -7.3 | +11.3 | -13.3 |