Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+58.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +34.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 27% | 23% | 26% | +4.2 | -5.2 | +4.2 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 23% | 27% | 23% | +3.0 | +2.6 | -7.0 | +1.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 1,100 | 28% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -6.1 | -2.0 | -3.8 | +12.0 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 23% | 24% | 20% | 33% | +1.1 | +4.2 | -3.5 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 24% | 26% | 18% | 31% | -1.5 | -11.5 | +9.0 | +3.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 20% | 23% | 34% | -0.1 | -7.5 | +4.6 | +3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 14% | 25% | 37% | -5.6 | +7.8 | +5.3 | -7.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 20% | 18% | 31% | 31% | -0.2 | +1.0 | +2.4 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 21% | 18% | 32% | 29% | +2.3 | +5.2 | -4.6 | -2.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 23% | 28% | 27% | -17.4 | -14.0 | -14.5 | +45.9 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 10% | 12% | 70% | -6.7 | +19.0 | -4.9 | -7.5 |
| South 1 | Draw | 7% | 20% | 12% | 62% | +6.2 | -2.2 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi | 10% | 18% | 12% | 60% | +28.7 | -26.8 | -2.1 | +0.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 8% | 10% | 61% | +34.7 | -9.0 | -8.0 | -17.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Murakami Jun ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 57% | 4% | 7% | 32% | +11.9 | -7.0 | -1.3 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,200 | 71% | 2% | 4% | 23% | -3.3 | +12.2 | -6.3 | -2.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 72% | 4% | 4% | 21% | -3.8 | +1.5 | +4.4 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 68% | 5% | 5% | 22% | +8.9 | -6.5 | -2.7 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 80% | 1% | 3% | 16% | -2.9 | -5.1 | +5.2 | +2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 5,200 | 77% | 0% | 5% | 18% | -2.3 | -2.1 | -9.1 | +13.5 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 73% | 0% | 0% | 27% | +9.0 | -6.7 | +10.7 | -13.0 |