Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/13 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+78.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -4.0 | -1.8 | +2.3 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 23% | 23% | 25% | 29% | +0.5 | +32.8 | -31.9 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 20% | 47% | 8% | 24% | -7.2 | -1.7 | +0.4 | +8.6 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 16% | 46% | 8% | 30% | -10.0 | +4.0 | -5.6 | +11.5 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 9% | 48% | 4% | 38% | +19.3 | -2.0 | -14.4 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 18% | 46% | 2% | 34% | -7.3 | +29.1 | -15.2 | -6.6 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 5% | 80% | 0% | 15% | +2.3 | +10.0 | +0.1 | -12.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 90% | 0% | 6% | -3.9 | -1.7 | -0.9 | +6.5 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Maehara Yudai | 1% | 91% | 0% | 7% | +3.3 | +1.6 | -4.3 | -0.6 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 94% | 0% | 6% | -20.2 | -4.1 | +0.1 | +24.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 83% | 0% | 17% | +0.2 | +12.3 | +0.5 | -13.0 |