Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/13 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+78.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -1.3 | -1.7 | -0.1 | +3.2 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 23% | 25% | 25% | 27% | +0.3 | +31.0 | -30.1 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 20% | 47% | 9% | 24% | -8.1 | +0.3 | -1.1 | +9.0 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 15% | 48% | 8% | 29% | -7.8 | +2.1 | -3.2 | +9.0 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 11% | 49% | 5% | 35% | +16.5 | +0.9 | -16.4 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 17% | 49% | 2% | 32% | -6.2 | +27.6 | -15.5 | -5.9 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 4% | 80% | 0% | 16% | +1.5 | +8.9 | +0.7 | -11.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 90% | 0% | 7% | -2.8 | -1.2 | -0.8 | +4.8 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Yudai Maehara | 1% | 91% | 0% | 7% | +2.6 | +1.4 | -4.2 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 94% | 0% | 6% | -19.8 | -3.2 | +0.2 | +22.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 85% | 0% | 15% | +0.3 | +11.4 | +0.5 | -12.2 |