Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/13 Game 2
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +24.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +9.8 | -9.6 | -0.6 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,000 | 32% | 20% | 24% | 24% | -5.6 | +6.9 | -3.6 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 6,400 from Nikaido Aki | 29% | 23% | 22% | 26% | +2.5 | -3.1 | +21.6 | -21.0 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 29% | 19% | 38% | 14% | -24.0 | +24.5 | -0.8 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 37% | 35% | 14% | -8.1 | -13.5 | -11.5 | +33.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari | 12% | 26% | 26% | 36% | -17.5 | -2.0 | +1.2 | +18.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 4% | 21% | 25% | 49% | +17.6 | +5.5 | +1.1 | -24.3 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 11% | 30% | 29% | 30% | -22.6 | +24.8 | -2.1 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 52% | 22% | 24% | -2.9 | +4.3 | +3.8 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 1% | 57% | 24% | 19% | +1.7 | -4.5 | +26.4 | -23.7 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 1% | 45% | 49% | 5% | -2.3 | +18.2 | -15.5 | -0.3 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 78% | 18% | 4% | +27.0 | +9.7 | -6.5 | -30.2 |