Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/13 Game 2
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +9.6 | -11.5 | +0.7 | +1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,000 | 31% | 18% | 26% | 26% | -4.2 | +6.7 | -0.9 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 6,400 from Aki Nikaido | 28% | 23% | 25% | 25% | 0.0 | -3.3 | +20.7 | -17.4 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 27% | 18% | 40% | 16% | -19.4 | +25.9 | -3.3 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 37% | 36% | 12% | -11.2 | -13.4 | -9.7 | +34.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 5,800 from Mari Takamiya | 10% | 26% | 29% | 35% | -16.2 | -0.1 | -3.3 | +19.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 5% | 23% | 22% | 50% | +18.2 | +2.0 | +4.8 | -25.0 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 12% | 30% | 29% | 30% | -23.3 | +26.2 | -2.1 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 53% | 22% | 24% | -2.5 | +3.0 | +6.2 | -6.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 1% | 55% | 26% | 17% | +0.7 | -2.9 | +23.2 | -21.1 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 46% | 48% | 6% | -1.5 | +18.3 | -16.5 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 80% | 16% | 4% | +27.0 | +9.1 | -5.6 | -30.5 |