Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/16 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -2.1 | -0.3 | +3.4 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 24% | 28% | 25% | +7.3 | -4.2 | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 28% | 21% | 26% | 25% | +0.6 | +13.4 | -3.1 | -10.9 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 29% | 30% | 21% | 19% | +14.4 | -1.2 | +3.4 | -16.7 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 27% | 23% | 9% | +33.5 | -12.5 | -13.0 | -8.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 77% | 11% | 8% | 4% | -1.2 | -1.4 | -0.6 | +3.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 78% | 10% | 9% | 4% | +2.1 | -40.7 | -2.2 | +40.7 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 82% | 0% | 7% | 12% | +2.4 | +22.1 | -23.3 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 0% | 0% | 9% | +3.8 | +3.4 | -6.7 | -0.5 |