Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/16 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +31.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Ooi Takaharu● Uotani Yuumi● Katsumata Kenji● Fujisaki Satoshi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ooi● Uotani● Katsumata● Fujisaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultOoi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Fujisaki Satoshi
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Fujisaki Satoshi
Expected pt change
East 1Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi26%24%24%26%-3.2+0.4+4.2-1.4
East 2Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,00022%26%29%24%+7.9-5.8-0.4-1.7
East 3Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi28%21%27%24%+1.5+13.4-2.8-12.1
East 4Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi29%29%25%17%+15.0-1.7+0.6-13.9
South 1Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,00042%26%22%9%+31.4-10.2-12.3-8.9
South 1, 1 honbaDraw76%11%9%3%-0.8-1.7-2.2+4.7
South 2, 2 honbaFujisaki Satoshi ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi78%10%8%4%+1.9-41.7-0.7+40.5
South 3Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,00080%0%7%13%+2.8+22.6-23.4-1.9
South 4Draw90%0%0%9%+3.9+3.5-6.7-0.7

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)