Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/17 Game 1
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 4,000, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +23.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.0 | +21.6 | +0.5 | -18.0 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 21% | 41% | 24% | 15% | +25.8 | -5.2 | -20.4 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 41% | 33% | 13% | 14% | +3.2 | -6.0 | -3.5 | +6.3 |
| East 4 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000 | 45% | 28% | 10% | 17% | -2.1 | -5.3 | +22.2 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Maruyama Kanako | 44% | 26% | 21% | 10% | +18.5 | 0.0 | -18.3 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 63% | 20% | 9% | 7% | -0.6 | -1.5 | -23.7 | +25.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 64% | 18% | 3% | 15% | -2.4 | +6.9 | -1.2 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Maruyama Kanako | 60% | 23% | 3% | 14% | -7.2 | +21.5 | -11.1 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 45% | 43% | 2% | 11% | -0.4 | +0.1 | +1.6 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 44% | 45% | 1% | 10% | -5.8 | +6.1 | +2.1 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 54% | 2% | 9% | -5.2 | +0.9 | -8.1 | +12.4 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 59% | 0% | 15% | -8.6 | +23.3 | -0.6 | -14.1 |