Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/17 Game 1
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 4,000, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +22.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -3.5 | +21.5 | +0.6 | -18.6 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 21% | 42% | 23% | 13% | +24.8 | -4.1 | -20.6 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 40% | 35% | 13% | 12% | +3.7 | -6.8 | -3.5 | +6.6 |
| East 4 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000 | 45% | 30% | 9% | 16% | -3.2 | -3.8 | +22.9 | -15.9 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,800 from Kanako Maruyama | 43% | 28% | 21% | 9% | +18.2 | -2.3 | -19.1 | +3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 62% | 21% | 9% | 8% | +0.8 | -1.8 | -23.7 | +24.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 64% | 17% | 3% | 15% | -3.8 | +8.2 | -0.5 | -3.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 7,700 from Kanako Maruyama | 59% | 24% | 3% | 14% | -6.4 | +20.9 | -12.2 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 43% | 2% | 11% | +0.1 | -0.5 | +1.3 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 44% | 1% | 11% | -4.8 | +6.3 | +2.2 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 4,000 | 37% | 53% | 1% | 9% | -7.2 | +2.1 | -7.3 | +12.4 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 62% | 0% | 14% | -7.9 | +22.3 | -0.6 | -13.9 |