Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/17 Game 2
Naoki Setokuma finished 1st (+46.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000, which moved Naoki Setokuma's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -18.7 | +18.0 | -2.3 | +3.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 36% | 23% | 28% | -1.6 | +5.8 | +1.0 | -5.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Akina Mizuhara | 12% | 40% | 24% | 24% | -7.8 | -1.6 | -2.5 | +11.8 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,600 from Taro Suzuki | 9% | 39% | 21% | 32% | +2.7 | +4.4 | -1.8 | -5.3 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 45% | 19% | 27% | -10.0 | -15.2 | -12.1 | +37.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 24% | 10% | 60% | -7.6 | +36.6 | -6.4 | -22.6 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,300 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 3% | 63% | 6% | 29% | -5.4 | +0.8 | +2.8 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 66% | 6% | 28% | -7.0 | -17.0 | +32.1 | -8.2 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 48% | 25% | 26% | +11.2 | -26.7 | +5.9 | +9.5 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 20% | 38% | 41% | +49.5 | -28.9 | +28.2 | -48.8 |