Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/19 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+70.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +26.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -1.4 | +4.9 | -2.4 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 29% | 24% | 25% | -5.5 | -13.2 | +25.3 | -6.6 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 19% | 19% | 43% | 20% | +0.3 | -27.6 | +26.8 | +0.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 4% | 67% | 15% | -0.7 | -0.8 | +0.3 | +1.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 5% | 69% | 14% | -4.3 | -1.7 | +19.9 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 2% | 91% | 3% | -10.0 | -4.5 | -0.4 | +14.9 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 1% | 93% | 5% | +19.4 | -18.1 | +0.8 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 0% | 95% | 4% | -2.0 | -1.1 | -0.7 | +3.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | +0.5 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Murakami Jun ron 3,200 from Wakutsu Akira | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | +13.6 | +0.1 | +2.1 | -15.8 |