Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/19 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+70.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -5.1 | +8.1 | -0.1 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 30% | 25% | 24% | -5.1 | -13.3 | +22.4 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 19% | 19% | 43% | 20% | 0.0 | -29.7 | +29.8 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 3% | 70% | 15% | +0.4 | +1.5 | -1.8 | -0.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 5% | 70% | 14% | -2.3 | -4.4 | +19.4 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 2% | 90% | 3% | -10.8 | -4.2 | 0.0 | +15.0 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 1% | 93% | 5% | +19.8 | -17.5 | +0.6 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 95% | 4% | -2.3 | -0.9 | -1.3 | +4.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 95% | 4% | -0.2 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Jun Murakami ron 3,200 from Akira Wakutsu | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | +13.6 | +0.1 | +2.1 | -15.8 |