Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/20 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Sawazaki Makoto | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +20.7 | +1.6 | -19.9 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 42% | 24% | 12% | 22% | +18.5 | -7.2 | -5.0 | -6.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 12,000 | 57% | 18% | 9% | 16% | -19.7 | -9.2 | +35.5 | -6.5 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 39% | 15% | 31% | 15% | +24.2 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -21.0 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 1,500 | 63% | 9% | 22% | 6% | -1.8 | -4.1 | +5.7 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,700 | 62% | 8% | 25% | 6% | +9.5 | -1.5 | -5.2 | -2.8 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 73% | 6% | 17% | 4% | -13.0 | -15.4 | -15.7 | +44.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 59% | 4% | 14% | 22% | +1.0 | -0.5 | +5.0 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,100 | 62% | 4% | 16% | 18% | -2.4 | +4.9 | -3.5 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 5% | 15% | 18% | -3.6 | -14.9 | +26.7 | -8.2 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 0% | 30% | 13% | +25.0 | -3.6 | -16.0 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 92% | 0% | 3% | 5% | -4.5 | -12.9 | -12.4 | +29.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 82% | 0% | 2% | 16% | +7.7 | -0.4 | +19.7 | -27.1 |