Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/20 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 7,700 from Makoto Sawazaki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +22.9 | -2.0 | -18.2 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 41% | 22% | 13% | 23% | +17.7 | -4.4 | -6.0 | -7.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 12,000 | 57% | 17% | 10% | 16% | -17.0 | -8.7 | +33.2 | -7.5 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 42% | 15% | 28% | 14% | +23.1 | -3.4 | -0.2 | -19.4 |
| East 3 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 1,500 | 64% | 9% | 22% | 5% | -1.4 | -3.7 | +5.3 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,700 | 62% | 8% | 25% | 5% | +10.0 | -1.1 | -6.0 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 74% | 6% | 17% | 4% | -12.2 | -16.2 | -14.5 | +42.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 4% | 13% | 22% | -2.5 | +0.5 | +4.7 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,100 | 61% | 4% | 16% | 18% | +1.0 | +5.8 | -5.1 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 65% | 5% | 12% | 18% | -5.0 | -16.1 | +28.6 | -7.4 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 0% | 31% | 12% | +24.6 | -3.2 | -15.9 | -5.4 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 93% | 0% | 3% | 5% | -3.3 | -12.8 | -12.5 | +28.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 85% | 0% | 2% | 13% | +6.6 | -0.8 | +19.8 | -25.6 |