Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/20 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+78.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +42.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +42.4 | -13.8 | -14.6 | -14.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 61% | 14% | 12% | 14% | -3.2 | -0.7 | +2.9 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 59% | 13% | 14% | 13% | -6.3 | +19.0 | -8.1 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Asakura Koshin | 52% | 24% | 11% | 13% | -0.9 | +19.2 | -14.5 | -3.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,800 from Asakura Koshin | 48% | 36% | 7% | 10% | -5.7 | +16.3 | -12.9 | +2.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 38% | 50% | 3% | 9% | -0.6 | -2.5 | +3.9 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 38% | 49% | 4% | 9% | +9.4 | -2.5 | -6.8 | -0.1 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500 | 46% | 44% | 2% | 8% | +12.0 | -2.6 | -1.6 | -7.9 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 61% | 36% | 1% | 2% | +31.8 | -18.9 | -6.0 | -6.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 93% | 6% | 1% | 1% | +1.5 | -2.1 | +3.2 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 16,000 | 94% | 5% | 0% | 1% | -10.5 | -9.2 | -10.2 | +29.9 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 4,800 from Sawazaki Makoto | 91% | 5% | 0% | 3% | -1.4 | +11.0 | +1.0 | -10.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 88% | 9% | 0% | 3% | +4.9 | -1.5 | -0.8 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Asakura Koshin | 96% | 2% | 0% | 2% | +2.8 | +0.5 | -3.9 | +0.6 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Asakura Koshin | 99% | 1% | 0% | 1% | +0.5 | +3.1 | -0.9 | -2.7 |