Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/23 Game 1
Akira Wakutsu finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000, which moved Akira Wakutsu's expected points by +26.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 1,500 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -2.9 | +4.1 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Akira Wakutsu ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 24% | 27% | 24% | 26% | +17.0 | -4.3 | -14.5 | +1.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 22% | 16% | 27% | +0.2 | +0.2 | +2.4 | -2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 35% | 23% | 18% | 24% | +1.5 | -12.3 | +15.8 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 15% | 26% | 22% | +26.8 | -4.7 | -15.2 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 65% | 9% | 12% | 14% | -0.7 | +8.9 | -1.0 | -7.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 65% | 14% | 12% | 10% | +2.5 | -7.4 | +1.9 | +3.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 67% | 11% | 12% | 10% | +0.4 | +24.8 | -22.3 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 69% | 19% | 4% | 8% | +5.8 | -41.0 | +36.3 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 81% | 1% | 12% | 7% | -7.5 | -4.6 | +16.8 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 68% | 1% | 25% | 6% | +5.6 | -3.2 | -2.9 | +0.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,200 from Taro Suzuki | 80% | 0% | 16% | 4% | +8.9 | +18.3 | -8.0 | -19.2 |