Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/23 Game 1
Wakutsu Akira finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000, which moved Wakutsu Akira's expected points by +27.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | -4.9 | +1.9 | +2.3 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Wakutsu Akira ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 21% | 28% | 26% | 26% | +21.7 | -4.4 | -17.8 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 37% | 22% | 14% | 27% | -0.8 | +1.8 | +3.2 | -4.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 36% | 24% | 16% | 23% | -0.5 | -12.9 | +16.6 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 16% | 26% | 22% | +27.4 | -6.3 | -13.8 | -7.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 64% | 10% | 12% | 14% | +1.2 | +8.1 | -2.0 | -7.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 68% | 13% | 11% | 8% | +2.3 | -6.4 | +4.1 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 68% | 10% | 13% | 8% | -0.9 | +26.0 | -25.7 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 68% | 20% | 4% | 8% | +6.4 | -41.5 | +36.5 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 6,000 | 81% | 1% | 12% | 6% | -8.3 | -6.0 | +18.0 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 66% | 1% | 27% | 6% | +5.3 | -1.6 | -4.2 | +0.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,200 from Suzuki Taro | 79% | 0% | 16% | 6% | +9.7 | +17.6 | -7.4 | -19.8 |