Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/23 Game 2

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+70.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +36.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shingo Hori● Taro Suzuki● Akira Wakutsu● Go Kobayashi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shingo● Taro● Akira● Go
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShingo Hori
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Akira Wakutsu
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Akira Wakutsu
Expected pt change
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
East 1Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Akira Wakutsu23%24%26%27%+1.3+0.1-7.4+6.0
East 2Shingo Hori tsumo 12,00023%24%22%32%+36.9-21.7-8.9-6.3
East 3Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,00055%9%14%22%-3.2+23.1-14.5-5.5
East 4Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Akira Wakutsu52%21%7%21%+20.5-2.6-15.0-3.0
South 1Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki74%12%2%12%-1.1-14.5-0.3+15.9
South 2Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Akira Wakutsu74%6%2%17%+14.3-3.3-10.1-0.9
South 3Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki90%0%1%9%+4.6-2.5-3.7+1.6
South 4Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,00094%0%0%6%+0.3-2.5+8.2-6.1

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)