Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/24 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+57.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +23.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 24% | 24% | 26% | 27% | -2.1 | +11.4 | -8.8 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 33% | 20% | 25% | -2.2 | +0.6 | +4.3 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 21% | 33% | 23% | 24% | +23.0 | -10.3 | -7.3 | -5.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 38% | 23% | 18% | 21% | +3.4 | +0.7 | -2.2 | -1.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 42% | 24% | 15% | 19% | +1.7 | -6.9 | +0.6 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 44% | 20% | 15% | 22% | +1.4 | -11.0 | -2.7 | +12.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 44% | 13% | 13% | 30% | +0.1 | +6.1 | +0.4 | -6.7 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Draw | 46% | 16% | 14% | 24% | -3.0 | -4.1 | +4.8 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 1,500 | 42% | 14% | 16% | 27% | -5.4 | +14.8 | -3.1 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 6 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,500 | 37% | 24% | 16% | 23% | +17.0 | -5.1 | -7.6 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 58% | 14% | 11% | 17% | -10.0 | +0.5 | +10.6 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 47% | 18% | 17% | 19% | +19.6 | -0.3 | -10.3 | -9.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 76% | 10% | 3% | 11% | +14.3 | -14.7 | +22.8 | -22.4 |