Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/24 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +49.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.3 | +30.5 | +0.3 | -26.5 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 48% | 24% | 10% | -1.6 | -4.5 | -2.3 | +8.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 46% | 22% | 13% | +0.3 | -0.4 | -4.5 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 20% | 46% | 19% | 15% | -9.6 | -8.6 | -6.6 | +24.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 16% | 38% | 16% | 30% | -1.5 | +5.2 | +1.3 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 15% | 43% | 16% | 26% | +49.4 | -44.9 | -3.1 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 54% | 10% | 12% | 23% | +30.1 | -7.3 | -8.2 | -14.6 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,700 | 87% | 3% | 4% | 6% | -4.3 | -5.5 | +11.1 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 84% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 0.0 | -12.7 | +19.6 | -6.9 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 86% | 0% | 10% | 4% | +8.5 | -7.6 | -1.7 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | +1.2 | +1.6 | +1.6 | -4.4 |