Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/24 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +49.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 24% | 27% | 22% | 27% | -2.5 | +27.9 | +3.6 | -29.0 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 47% | 24% | 10% | -1.6 | -3.4 | -3.2 | +8.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 45% | 22% | 14% | -3.3 | +1.1 | -3.1 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 48% | 19% | 15% | -7.4 | -8.8 | -10.2 | +26.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 38% | 14% | 33% | -1.1 | +4.5 | +2.7 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 15% | 42% | 16% | 27% | +49.9 | -43.8 | -1.4 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 10% | 13% | 21% | +28.6 | -9.2 | -7.2 | -12.2 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,700 | 86% | 3% | 5% | 6% | -3.0 | -4.3 | +10.5 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 3% | 7% | 5% | -1.3 | -14.1 | +19.4 | -4.1 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 85% | 0% | 11% | 4% | +9.2 | -6.3 | -3.1 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | +1.6 | +1.4 | +2.2 | -5.1 |