Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/26 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+67.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -3.6 | -2.9 | +9.4 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,300 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 21% | 24% | 30% | 25% | +1.8 | -9.4 | +8.3 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 16% | 37% | 23% | -4.4 | -2.2 | +7.4 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 15% | 43% | 23% | -5.5 | -8.6 | -15.4 | +29.5 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 15% | 10% | 28% | 47% | -28.2 | +2.0 | -1.2 | +27.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 6% | 17% | 74% | -7.7 | +30.8 | -6.7 | -16.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 23% | 17% | 57% | -5.2 | -1.5 | -4.6 | +11.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 18% | 10% | 71% | -10.6 | -5.9 | -2.8 | +19.3 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 2% | 4% | 94% | -1.0 | +2.1 | -4.7 | +3.6 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +5.0 | +4.5 | -4.6 | -4.9 |