Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/26 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+71.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +50.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +4.4 | +0.3 | -1.6 | -3.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -14.7 | -5.5 | +25.3 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 16% | 20% | 44% | 19% | -1.5 | -22.4 | +1.6 | +22.3 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Seiichi Kondo | 14% | 9% | 44% | 33% | +7.6 | -4.8 | -2.8 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 8% | 42% | 33% | -1.5 | +2.2 | +1.4 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 17% | 9% | 43% | 31% | -19.5 | +13.8 | +2.7 | +3.1 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 16,000 | 6% | 13% | 48% | 33% | -4.1 | -22.6 | +39.3 | -12.7 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 93% | 6% | -12.2 | +22.9 | -11.9 | +1.2 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 1% | 89% | 10% | +1.1 | -7.6 | -0.9 | +7.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 0% | 1% | 86% | 13% | -6.9 | +1.5 | -3.2 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 20% | -6.6 | -7.0 | -37.2 | +50.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -1.3 | +0.3 | +0.8 | +0.2 |