Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/26 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+71.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +50.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 26% | 26% | 23% | +2.3 | +2.2 | -3.4 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 26% | 22% | 23% | -13.5 | -7.1 | +28.3 | -7.7 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 16% | 22% | 45% | 17% | -1.9 | -22.0 | -0.1 | +24.0 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,600 from Kondo Seiichi | 15% | 9% | 43% | 32% | +6.0 | -6.9 | -1.0 | +1.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 18% | 6% | 41% | 34% | -2.0 | +5.7 | +0.2 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 17% | 9% | 44% | 29% | -17.6 | +9.8 | +4.1 | +3.7 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 16,000 | 6% | 12% | 49% | 32% | -6.0 | -20.1 | +38.2 | -12.1 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 0% | 93% | 6% | -11.4 | +22.5 | -11.7 | +0.6 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 1% | 89% | 10% | +1.0 | -8.0 | -1.2 | +8.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 0% | 0% | 86% | 13% | -6.8 | +1.1 | -3.0 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 21% | -6.2 | -7.3 | -37.1 | +50.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -1.8 | +1.2 | +0.6 | 0.0 |