Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/27 Game 2
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +43.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 27% | 24% | 26% | -3.4 | -1.1 | +5.1 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 22% | 25% | 29% | 24% | -1.4 | +28.3 | +0.3 | -27.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 46% | 26% | 10% | -4.1 | -11.6 | -4.2 | +19.9 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 18% | 37% | 26% | 20% | +1.8 | +11.0 | -10.7 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 49% | 16% | 17% | -4.7 | -1.0 | +10.1 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 15% | 48% | 24% | 13% | -3.2 | +19.9 | -16.3 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 7% | 73% | 10% | 10% | +15.7 | -0.8 | +1.5 | -16.4 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 74% | 9% | 6% | +43.5 | -19.1 | -17.5 | -6.8 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 65% | 32% | 0% | 3% | +16.6 | -11.2 | +6.1 | -11.5 |