Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/27 Game 2
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +42.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -3.6 | -2.9 | +6.6 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 23% | 22% | 29% | 27% | -1.5 | +32.8 | -1.0 | -30.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 47% | 25% | 9% | -4.8 | -10.6 | -5.7 | +21.1 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 18% | 38% | 23% | 20% | +0.6 | +8.7 | -6.9 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 17% | 48% | 17% | 18% | -3.4 | -0.1 | +8.8 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 15% | 48% | 23% | 14% | -2.7 | +16.8 | -13.0 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 8% | 70% | 12% | 10% | +16.3 | +1.4 | -2.2 | -15.4 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 74% | 10% | 5% | +42.1 | -18.4 | -16.7 | -6.9 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 65% | 32% | 0% | 3% | +16.8 | -11.7 | +5.7 | -10.8 |