Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

11/30 Game 1

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +49.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Yudai Maehara● Naoki Setokuma● Seiichi Kondo0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazunori● Yudai● Naoki● Seiichi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Naoki Setokuma
1st-place chance
Seiichi Kondo
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
Naoki Setokuma
Expected pt change
Seiichi Kondo
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
East 1Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,00024%25%25%26%-11.3+25.7-8.0-6.4
East 2Yudai Maehara ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma17%43%19%21%+14.1-10.9+1.0-4.2
East 3Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo25%36%20%19%-2.2+3.6-27.4+25.9
East 4Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,00022%36%7%35%+36.7-9.7-6.2-20.8
South 1Naoki Setokuma tsumo 5,20057%24%4%16%-7.7+15.9-4.3-3.9
South 2Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,20046%38%3%13%-1.0-11.0-4.9+16.9
South 3Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,00047%25%3%26%-19.7-17.6-11.9+49.2
South 4Yudai Maehara ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma8%4%0%88%+5.9-9.4-0.4+3.9

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)