Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/30 Game 2
Satoshi Fujisaki finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 24,000, which moved Satoshi Fujisaki's expected points by +79.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -3.8 | -21.8 | +24.5 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 13% | 42% | 24% | -3.8 | -13.3 | +22.1 | -5.1 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 14% | 4% | 64% | 18% | +0.7 | +0.3 | -23.2 | +22.2 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 7% | 41% | 36% | +22.7 | -5.6 | -3.5 | -13.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 5% | 37% | 24% | +2.0 | +3.0 | -2.2 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 6% | 35% | 23% | +3.3 | -1.6 | -0.4 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 40% | 5% | 35% | 20% | -17.9 | +11.7 | +3.6 | +2.6 |
| South 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 24,000 | 24% | 9% | 41% | 26% | -24.5 | +79.0 | -28.8 | -25.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 78% | 11% | 6% | -4.4 | -0.9 | -1.8 | +7.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 2% | 80% | 9% | 8% | -2.0 | -11.8 | +17.3 | -3.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 4% | 66% | 20% | 10% | -0.4 | +17.1 | -12.5 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 92% | 2% | 6% | +30.4 | +2.7 | -12.4 | -20.8 |