Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/30 Game 2
Fujisaki Satoshi finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 24,000, which moved Fujisaki Satoshi's expected points by +78.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -3.6 | -21.0 | +26.1 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 13% | 45% | 23% | -2.2 | -12.1 | +19.2 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 14% | 6% | 64% | 16% | +1.1 | -3.2 | -21.3 | +23.4 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 6% | 42% | 35% | +23.1 | -4.8 | -3.6 | -14.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 35% | 5% | 38% | 23% | +2.7 | +4.7 | -5.0 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 38% | 6% | 34% | 23% | +1.4 | -2.5 | +0.5 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 39% | 5% | 33% | 23% | -16.7 | +10.6 | +3.9 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 24,000 | 24% | 8% | 40% | 28% | -25.6 | +78.5 | -26.9 | -26.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 75% | 13% | 8% | -2.3 | +0.9 | -3.3 | +4.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 3% | 80% | 9% | 8% | -4.3 | -11.4 | +17.0 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 4% | 66% | 20% | 10% | +0.3 | +17.1 | -12.4 | -5.1 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 92% | 2% | 6% | +30.5 | +2.4 | -12.1 | -20.7 |