Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/1 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+84.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Kanako Maruyama | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -7.2 | -2.1 | -0.1 | +9.5 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 24% | 25% | 31% | -14.9 | +44.8 | -14.6 | -15.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 8% | 62% | 13% | 17% | +0.4 | -1.6 | +29.8 | -28.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 58% | 28% | 7% | -2.5 | -3.1 | +3.5 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 55% | 32% | 6% | -2.8 | +1.7 | -5.0 | +6.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 59% | 26% | 9% | -5.3 | -16.1 | +39.2 | -17.8 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 27% | 69% | 2% | -18.4 | -3.6 | -2.4 | +24.4 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 25% | 69% | 5% | -5.1 | -15.0 | +1.1 | +19.1 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 11% | 77% | 12% | -4.3 | -7.9 | +20.4 | -8.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 0% | 1% | 96% | 2% | -13.3 | -0.6 | +13.3 | +0.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +0.7 | -21.6 | -1.2 | +22.1 |
| South 4 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +4.9 | -1.7 | +0.5 | -3.7 |