Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/1 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+84.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +40.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Maruyama Kanako | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -9.5 | +0.6 | +1.3 | +7.6 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 25% | 24% | 32% | -12.5 | +43.2 | -13.2 | -17.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 9% | 61% | 15% | 16% | -1.4 | -0.2 | +28.8 | -27.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 8% | 59% | 27% | 6% | -1.3 | -4.0 | +0.9 | +4.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 55% | 30% | 7% | -2.0 | +2.4 | -4.4 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 59% | 24% | 8% | -7.5 | -15.9 | +40.2 | -16.8 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 28% | 68% | 1% | -18.3 | -4.1 | -1.8 | +24.1 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 25% | 69% | 5% | -5.1 | -13.6 | 0.0 | +18.8 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 13% | 74% | 12% | -3.7 | -8.8 | +22.2 | -9.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | -13.0 | +0.1 | +12.6 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0.0 | -21.8 | -1.3 | +23.1 |
| South 4 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 3% | +5.2 | -2.3 | +0.6 | -3.5 |