Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/1 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+79.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Go Kobayashi ron 9,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -9.3 | -2.1 | -3.3 | +14.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 23% | 22% | 37% | -0.4 | -4.6 | +7.3 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 20% | 28% | 34% | -3.7 | -6.5 | +12.2 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 9,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 17% | 14% | 36% | 33% | -22.6 | +1.7 | +24.6 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki | 6% | 12% | 58% | 24% | -1.3 | -2.4 | +14.1 | -10.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 8% | 73% | 15% | -0.8 | +0.8 | +1.1 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 4% | 9% | 74% | 14% | -6.5 | +11.5 | -0.3 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 3% | 12% | 75% | 10% | +16.6 | +0.8 | +3.3 | -20.7 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 10% | 82% | 4% | -4.7 | -1.6 | +7.4 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 6% | 91% | 2% | +19.6 | -2.9 | +2.0 | -18.7 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | -5.8 | -4.0 | +14.4 | -4.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.1 | +3.6 | -3.6 | -0.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +19.5 | -12.9 | -0.3 | -6.3 |