Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/1 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+79.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Kobayashi Go ron 9,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -10.4 | -1.8 | -4.4 | +16.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 24% | 21% | 37% | -1.5 | -4.7 | +6.5 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 19% | 27% | 37% | -5.5 | -7.3 | +15.9 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 9,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 14% | 15% | 38% | 33% | -21.5 | +1.0 | +24.6 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 5% | 11% | 60% | 24% | -0.3 | +0.5 | +12.0 | -12.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 4% | 10% | 72% | 14% | -0.5 | -1.6 | +2.7 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 3% | 9% | 74% | 14% | -7.2 | +10.6 | +0.4 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 2% | 10% | 77% | 11% | +17.8 | +1.3 | +3.4 | -22.4 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 9% | 84% | 3% | -5.1 | -0.1 | +5.8 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 6% | 92% | 2% | +19.1 | -3.2 | +1.9 | -17.8 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | -6.0 | -4.5 | +14.3 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.5 | +4.5 | -3.5 | -1.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +19.4 | -13.2 | -0.4 | -5.8 |