Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/3 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+65.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +35.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +14.1 | -3.3 | -4.2 | -6.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 23% | 21% | 20% | -11.7 | -10.7 | +25.3 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 26% | 17% | 40% | 17% | -1.1 | -21.4 | -0.6 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 7% | 37% | 32% | -0.4 | +0.5 | -6.7 | +6.6 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Kurosawa Saki | 22% | 7% | 32% | 38% | +1.1 | -0.7 | -22.2 | +21.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 6% | 14% | 61% | +3.8 | -2.9 | +2.9 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 24% | 5% | 14% | 57% | -6.2 | +0.3 | -0.8 | +6.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 16% | 5% | 14% | 66% | +35.2 | -20.6 | -6.8 | -7.8 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko | 48% | 0% | 6% | 46% | +21.8 | -0.4 | -3.6 | -17.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 86% | 0% | 0% | 14% | +7.2 | +1.7 | -2.3 | -6.6 |