Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/3 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+65.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +14.3 | -4.2 | -7.3 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 22% | 21% | 22% | -10.1 | -10.3 | +24.6 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 27% | 15% | 39% | 19% | -1.1 | -19.9 | +1.8 | +19.2 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 7% | 38% | 31% | +1.7 | -1.2 | -8.3 | +7.7 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 26% | 6% | 31% | 38% | +0.2 | +1.4 | -22.5 | +20.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 5% | 13% | 59% | +1.7 | -1.9 | +3.4 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 5% | 16% | 56% | -7.4 | +0.6 | -3.1 | +9.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 14% | 6% | 10% | 70% | +37.0 | -22.7 | -3.3 | -11.0 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata | 49% | 0% | 7% | 44% | +21.7 | -0.4 | -4.7 | -16.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 86% | 0% | 0% | 14% | +7.4 | +2.0 | -2.0 | -7.3 |