Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/3 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+68.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +42.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +30.4 | -10.6 | -11.2 | -8.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 17% | 16% | 18% | -4.6 | +2.5 | -3.7 | +5.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 44% | 19% | 16% | 22% | -3.7 | +5.9 | +2.9 | -5.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 40% | 23% | 18% | 19% | -3.9 | -4.0 | +9.0 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 39% | 20% | 22% | 20% | +7.3 | -0.3 | -5.1 | -2.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 47% | 19% | 17% | 17% | +0.3 | -0.9 | +20.1 | -19.4 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 17% | 31% | 7% | -19.1 | -11.2 | -11.0 | +41.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 29% | 14% | 25% | 32% | +11.8 | -6.7 | -3.3 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 39% | 9% | 22% | 29% | -3.5 | -4.4 | +12.8 | -4.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 35% | 7% | 30% | 27% | -11.5 | -26.5 | +42.8 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 10% | 0% | 79% | 11% | -6.4 | +0.3 | +2.1 | +4.0 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 0% | 86% | 10% | -12.8 | -0.9 | +12.6 | +1.1 |