Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/4 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+71.6pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +7.2 | -2.9 | -1.1 | -3.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 6,000 | 31% | 22% | 24% | 23% | +16.7 | -5.1 | -6.5 | -5.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 19% | 18% | 20% | -19.8 | +35.1 | -9.0 | -6.3 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 45% | 13% | 16% | +11.6 | -6.4 | -0.8 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 38% | 13% | 14% | -2.1 | -2.0 | +7.5 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,000 | 32% | 38% | 18% | 12% | +11.8 | -2.7 | -8.5 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 44% | 33% | 11% | 12% | -3.6 | +24.4 | -17.6 | -3.2 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 33% | 57% | 4% | 6% | -5.1 | +9.7 | +0.2 | -4.8 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 6,400 from Mari Takamiya | 22% | 70% | 3% | 5% | +18.2 | -7.4 | -13.6 | +2.8 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 41% | 55% | 1% | 3% | -11.8 | +23.5 | -14.0 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 9% | 90% | 0% | 1% | -3.3 | +5.6 | +0.2 | -2.5 |