Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/4 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+71.6pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +38.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +5.7 | -0.7 | -2.4 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 30% | 24% | 24% | 23% | +18.8 | -9.1 | -5.7 | -4.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 16% | 19% | 19% | -23.6 | +38.5 | -9.5 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 46% | 14% | 17% | +10.3 | -5.5 | -0.7 | -4.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 32% | 39% | 14% | 14% | -0.4 | -3.5 | +7.4 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 32% | 37% | 18% | 13% | +9.9 | +0.1 | -7.8 | -2.2 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 40% | 36% | 13% | 11% | +0.3 | +21.7 | -20.4 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 34% | 57% | 3% | 6% | -5.2 | +9.5 | +0.3 | -4.6 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 6,400 from Takamiya Mari | 23% | 70% | 3% | 5% | +16.2 | -5.4 | -12.0 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 39% | 58% | 1% | 3% | -10.5 | +21.3 | -13.4 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,100 | 10% | 89% | 0% | 1% | -3.5 | +6.1 | -0.2 | -2.4 |