Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/7 Game 1
Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Makoto Sawazaki ron 9,600 from Jun Murakami, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +25.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -6.9 | +0.2 | +4.8 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 21% | 25% | 28% | 27% | -1.3 | -16.1 | +17.6 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 15% | 42% | 25% | -5.4 | -5.1 | -13.0 | +23.6 |
| East 4 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 9,600 from Jun Murakami | 15% | 12% | 30% | 44% | -21.9 | +0.1 | -3.9 | +25.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 8% | 18% | 69% | +11.5 | -4.1 | -4.0 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 8% | 6% | 16% | 70% | -4.8 | +2.0 | -8.6 | +11.4 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 2% | 5% | 8% | 85% | +1.4 | +10.8 | -11.2 | -0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 8% | 7% | 84% | -0.1 | +3.2 | +1.2 | -4.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 3% | 11% | 7% | 79% | +0.6 | -38.8 | +39.1 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 24% | 75% | -1.2 | -3.6 | -13.6 | +18.4 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +2.5 | -3.2 | +1.7 | -1.1 |