Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/7 Game 1
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -8.5 | -0.3 | +7.2 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 20% | 25% | 29% | 26% | +1.5 | -14.8 | +13.9 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 15% | 41% | 25% | -5.1 | -6.4 | -13.5 | +25.0 |
| East 4 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 9,600 from Murakami Jun | 16% | 12% | 27% | 46% | -23.1 | -0.5 | -0.7 | +24.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 7% | 20% | 69% | +10.0 | -1.8 | -4.9 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 6% | 8% | 16% | 69% | -1.4 | -0.6 | -8.4 | +10.4 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 6% | 10% | 82% | -0.2 | +10.2 | -11.6 | +1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 6% | 6% | 86% | -0.8 | +5.5 | +0.7 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 3% | 10% | 8% | 79% | +0.8 | -39.4 | +39.1 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 23% | 76% | -0.6 | -4.1 | -12.7 | +17.4 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +2.3 | -2.9 | +1.2 | -0.6 |