Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/7 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+68.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +40.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 26% | 27% | 23% | 25% | -25.2 | -2.0 | +24.9 | +2.3 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 23% | 42% | 24% | -3.4 | -12.8 | -5.4 | +21.7 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 14% | 36% | 42% | -4.4 | -3.5 | -15.5 | +23.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 6% | 10% | 18% | 66% | -2.2 | -3.1 | +7.8 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 8% | 22% | 64% | -6.2 | +4.0 | 0.0 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,100 | 2% | 9% | 21% | 68% | -5.0 | +13.1 | -4.3 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 15% | 19% | 65% | -3.8 | -17.4 | +28.6 | -7.4 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 3% | 47% | 50% | -7.8 | +9.5 | +4.8 | -6.5 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 6% | 61% | 34% | -5.6 | -6.5 | -28.4 | +40.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +2.0 | -2.5 | +0.9 | -0.4 |