Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/7 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+68.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +40.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -22.8 | -1.0 | +24.2 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 23% | 43% | 23% | -5.1 | -10.3 | -8.6 | +24.0 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 15% | 34% | 42% | -2.7 | -5.4 | -13.2 | +21.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 10% | 19% | 64% | -3.9 | -2.8 | +8.0 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 8% | 23% | 64% | -5.2 | +3.5 | -0.7 | +2.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,100 | 2% | 9% | 21% | 68% | -5.4 | +13.4 | -5.2 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 14% | 19% | 65% | -4.1 | -17.4 | +30.7 | -9.3 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 3% | 49% | 47% | -7.8 | +9.6 | +3.2 | -5.0 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 5% | 60% | 34% | -5.3 | -6.7 | -28.2 | +40.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +1.9 | -2.4 | +0.9 | -0.4 |