Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

12/8 Game 1

Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+66.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +30.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance	Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance	Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance	Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance	Sho Shiratori Expected pt change	Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change	Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change	Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change
East 1	Sho Shiratori ron 24,000 from Akira Wakutsu	24%	26%	24%	26%	+56.4	-52.2	-1.1	-3.0
East 1, 1 honba	Akira Wakutsu ron 1,300 from Sho Shiratori	69%	3%	14%	15%	-3.9	+2.7	-0.7	+1.8
East 2	Exhaustive draw	66%	3%	15%	16%	-5.6	+1.6	+4.3	-0.4
East 2, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	61%	3%	19%	17%	+2.6	+3.2	-3.7	-2.1
East 2, 2 honba	Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori	64%	5%	17%	15%	-20.4	-4.9	+0.1	+25.1
East 3	Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori	43%	3%	18%	37%	-3.4	-2.9	-2.0	+8.4
East 4	Exhaustive draw	38%	2%	16%	44%	-3.0	-1.2	+1.8	+2.3
East 4, 1 honba	Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000	35%	2%	16%	47%	-1.9	+18.6	-3.0	-13.8
South 1	Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,000 from Akira Wakutsu	38%	8%	17%	37%	+1.5	-5.9	+1.5	+3.0
South 2	Exhaustive draw	39%	5%	17%	39%	-4.6	+6.5	+0.1	-2.0
South 2, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000	35%	8%	19%	38%	-7.9	-15.0	-8.0	+30.9
South 3	Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Akira Wakutsu	15%	0%	9%	77%	-2.2	-5.5	+8.5	-0.7
South 3, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi	13%	0%	11%	75%	+0.8	+0.2	-20.0	+18.9
South 4	Exhaustive draw	1%	0%	0%	99%	+3.0	-0.9	-2.4	+0.4
South 4, 1 honba	Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 4,000	2%	0%	0%	98%	-1.5	-2.6	+6.8	-2.7

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)