Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

12/8 Game 1

Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+66.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +30.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance	Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance	Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance	Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance	Shiratori Sho Expected pt change	Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change	Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change	Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change
East 1	Shiratori Sho ron 24,000 from Wakutsu Akira	26%	24%	25%	25%	+52.3	-49.1	-1.6	-1.6
East 1, 1 honba	Wakutsu Akira ron 1,300 from Shiratori Sho	68%	3%	14%	15%	-2.4	+0.4	+1.7	+0.2
East 2	Draw	67%	3%	16%	15%	-8.1	+3.2	+2.2	+2.6
East 2, 1 honba	Draw	58%	4%	19%	19%	+5.7	+2.6	-3.1	-5.2
East 2, 2 honba	Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho	66%	4%	15%	14%	-20.2	-5.2	-0.6	+26.0
East 3	Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho	44%	3%	18%	36%	-2.9	-2.3	-2.9	+8.2
East 4	Draw	40%	2%	14%	43%	-5.2	-0.6	+3.0	+2.7
East 4, 1 honba	Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000	35%	2%	16%	47%	-2.5	+17.7	-2.9	-12.2
South 1	Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Wakutsu Akira	37%	7%	17%	39%	+0.6	-4.3	+2.5	+1.2
South 2	Draw	37%	6%	18%	39%	-1.4	+3.2	+0.2	-2.0
South 2, 1 honba	Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000	36%	6%	19%	38%	-10.1	-12.2	-8.4	+30.7
South 3	Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Wakutsu Akira	14%	0%	9%	76%	-2.2	-6.1	+9.3	-1.0
South 3, 1 honba	Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro	13%	0%	13%	74%	+1.8	0.0	-21.5	+19.7
South 4	Draw	1%	0%	0%	99%	+2.4	-1.0	-2.0	+0.6
South 4, 1 honba	Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 4,000	2%	0%	0%	98%	-0.8	-2.6	+6.5	-3.1

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)