Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/8 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +13.2 | -12.8 | -0.9 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 1,300 from Hinata Aiko | 35% | 18% | 23% | 24% | -1.5 | +2.5 | +2.0 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,700 | 33% | 19% | 26% | 23% | +0.6 | -4.8 | +7.3 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 34% | 15% | 30% | 22% | -2.7 | -0.4 | -2.0 | +5.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 32% | 15% | 28% | 25% | +2.1 | -4.5 | +7.3 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 33% | 12% | 34% | 21% | -3.0 | -13.9 | +0.2 | +16.6 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 29% | 7% | 32% | 32% | -27.1 | -6.4 | +33.6 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 5% | 1% | 74% | 21% | +25.6 | -15.7 | -0.4 | -9.5 |
| South 4 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 0% | 74% | 14% | -0.3 | +5.2 | +10.6 | -15.6 |