Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/8 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,800 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +13.7 | -14.9 | +2.1 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 1,300 from Aiko Hinata | 36% | 17% | 24% | 24% | -1.3 | +3.5 | +0.1 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,700 | 34% | 18% | 25% | 23% | +0.4 | -6.8 | +7.8 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 34% | 14% | 29% | 22% | -4.9 | 0.0 | -2.1 | +6.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 14% | 27% | 26% | +2.1 | -3.6 | +9.1 | -7.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 31% | 12% | 36% | 21% | -1.4 | -14.6 | -1.6 | +17.6 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 28% | 7% | 34% | 32% | -26.2 | -6.2 | +34.4 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 4% | 1% | 75% | 20% | +24.6 | -14.2 | -0.8 | -9.7 |
| South 4 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 0% | 75% | 14% | -0.3 | +5.0 | +10.2 | -14.9 |