Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/10 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+96.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +49.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -13.4 | +24.2 | -7.1 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 16% | 43% | 19% | 22% | +9.4 | -1.2 | +2.1 | -10.3 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800 | 20% | 42% | 21% | 17% | -6.0 | -9.5 | +21.5 | -6.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 18% | 33% | 36% | 14% | +6.7 | +2.0 | -8.7 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 23% | 34% | 29% | 15% | +0.4 | +5.4 | +2.2 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 39% | 30% | 9% | +1.5 | -5.3 | +7.4 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 22% | 34% | 37% | 8% | -3.5 | +15.7 | -12.6 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 51% | 24% | 8% | -13.0 | -25.6 | +49.5 | -10.8 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 18,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 4% | 11% | 83% | 3% | -33.7 | 0.0 | +25.6 | +8.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,100 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -1.3 | -0.7 | +2.6 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -6.9 | -5.8 | +19.5 | -6.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -0.6 | -1.1 | +1.7 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +8.5 | +0.9 | -4.8 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +13.1 | +2.3 | -2.1 | -13.4 |