Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

12/10 Game 1

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+96.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +48.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance	Murakami Jun 1st-place chance	Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance	Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance	Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change	Murakami Jun Expected pt change	Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change	Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change
East 1	Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000	23%	26%	26%	26%	-8.6	+21.1	-6.7	-5.8
East 2	Fujisaki Satoshi ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka	18%	42%	21%	20%	+9.1	-1.8	+0.7	-8.0
East 3	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800	22%	41%	21%	16%	-6.6	-8.0	+20.3	-5.8
East 3, 1 honba	Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro	19%	32%	36%	14%	+5.4	+2.4	-6.7	-1.2
East 4	Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	22%	35%	29%	14%	+0.3	+4.8	+1.9	-7.0
South 1	Draw	21%	40%	30%	9%	+3.8	-5.6	+5.3	-3.5
South 1, 1 honba	Murakami Jun ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro	23%	34%	35%	8%	-5.2	+15.1	-9.1	-0.9
South 2	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000	16%	51%	26%	7%	-12.5	-26.6	+48.3	-9.1
South 3	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 18,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi	4%	10%	84%	3%	-35.3	+2.7	+25.3	+7.3
South 3, 1 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,100	0%	1%	99%	0%	-0.6	-1.2	+2.6	-0.8
South 3, 2 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000	0%	0%	100%	0%	-6.0	-6.4	+18.6	-6.2
South 3, 3 honba	Draw	0%	0%	100%	0%	-1.2	-1.4	+2.4	+0.3
South 3, 4 honba	Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro	0%	0%	100%	0%	+8.4	+1.2	-4.8	-4.8
South 4	Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro	0%	0%	100%	0%	+13.2	+2.5	-2.2	-13.4

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)