Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/10 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+96.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +48.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 26% | 26% | 26% | -8.6 | +21.1 | -6.7 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 18% | 42% | 21% | 20% | +9.1 | -1.8 | +0.7 | -8.0 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800 | 22% | 41% | 21% | 16% | -6.6 | -8.0 | +20.3 | -5.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 19% | 32% | 36% | 14% | +5.4 | +2.4 | -6.7 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 22% | 35% | 29% | 14% | +0.3 | +4.8 | +1.9 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 21% | 40% | 30% | 9% | +3.8 | -5.6 | +5.3 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 23% | 34% | 35% | 8% | -5.2 | +15.1 | -9.1 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 51% | 26% | 7% | -12.5 | -26.6 | +48.3 | -9.1 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 18,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 4% | 10% | 84% | 3% | -35.3 | +2.7 | +25.3 | +7.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,100 | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | -0.6 | -1.2 | +2.6 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -6.0 | -6.4 | +18.6 | -6.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.2 | -1.4 | +2.4 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +8.4 | +1.2 | -4.8 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +13.2 | +2.5 | -2.2 | -13.4 |