Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/10 Game 2
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -7.4 | -3.0 | +11.4 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 23% | 32% | 26% | +4.3 | +5.1 | -6.0 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 22% | 27% | 29% | 22% | -3.3 | -2.3 | +35.1 | -29.6 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 6,000 | 16% | 19% | 58% | 8% | -3.5 | -5.3 | +13.4 | -4.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 12% | 72% | 5% | -6.9 | -4.8 | +14.4 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 5% | 6% | 87% | 3% | +1.7 | -2.1 | +2.2 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,100 | 5% | 5% | 87% | 3% | -3.2 | +7.0 | -1.5 | -2.2 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 4% | 5% | 89% | 2% | +20.5 | -18.0 | +1.2 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 3% | 90% | 1% | -11.7 | -8.8 | +0.8 | +19.7 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 1% | 2% | 94% | 2% | +6.6 | -7.1 | +0.9 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -3.8 | +20.0 | -4.6 | -11.6 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -2.5 | -4.1 | -1.9 | +8.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -5.8 | +5.9 | -1.3 | +1.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -7.2 | +21.4 | +0.7 | -14.9 |