Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/10 Game 2
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -5.9 | -0.9 | +8.4 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 25% | 30% | 24% | +0.8 | +3.8 | +0.2 | -4.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 20% | 28% | 31% | 21% | -1.7 | -5.3 | +34.2 | -27.2 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 6,000 | 15% | 17% | 60% | 8% | -4.0 | -3.7 | +12.5 | -4.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 11% | 73% | 5% | -5.5 | -5.6 | +13.0 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 6% | 85% | 3% | +0.2 | -1.3 | +2.5 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,100 | 5% | 5% | 87% | 3% | -2.7 | +9.1 | -2.8 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 4% | 7% | 87% | 2% | +21.3 | -20.7 | +1.5 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 3% | 88% | 1% | -9.7 | -8.8 | +1.1 | +17.5 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,300 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 2% | 2% | 95% | 2% | +4.4 | -6.6 | +1.9 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -3.7 | +19.9 | -5.0 | -11.2 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -2.4 | -3.6 | -1.6 | +7.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -5.2 | +5.6 | -1.2 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -7.7 | +21.6 | +0.5 | -14.3 |