Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/11 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Saki Kurosawa ron 18,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +60.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -16.5 | +0.3 | +14.2 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 15% | 25% | 34% | 25% | +1.0 | -12.0 | -1.0 | +12.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 15% | 34% | 35% | -0.4 | +1.1 | -1.0 | +0.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 17% | 31% | 36% | -3.2 | -1.5 | +8.5 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 18,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 13% | 16% | 40% | 31% | +60.1 | -2.5 | -56.5 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 62% | 10% | 5% | 24% | -4.0 | -8.2 | +16.0 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 61% | 8% | 9% | 22% | +11.9 | -3.5 | -2.4 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 79% | 2% | 6% | 13% | -12.0 | -12.4 | +40.6 | -16.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 62% | 1% | 28% | 9% | +4.8 | -5.8 | -3.1 | +4.1 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 72% | 0% | 18% | 10% | +17.7 | -2.4 | -9.0 | -6.3 |