Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/11 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki ron 18,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +60.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -16.5 | +0.5 | +14.3 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 14% | 25% | 35% | 25% | +0.3 | -11.5 | -1.7 | +12.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 15% | 17% | 33% | 35% | +0.5 | +1.1 | -1.2 | -0.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 19% | 33% | 34% | -3.4 | -2.6 | +9.8 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 18,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 14% | 16% | 40% | 30% | +60.0 | -0.1 | -57.6 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 61% | 13% | 4% | 22% | -4.2 | -9.5 | +17.1 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 60% | 10% | 10% | 20% | +12.9 | -4.4 | -2.7 | -5.7 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 80% | 2% | 7% | 12% | -13.5 | -13.3 | +40.8 | -14.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 60% | 1% | 29% | 10% | +6.0 | -5.5 | -3.5 | +3.0 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 71% | 0% | 19% | 10% | +17.9 | -2.3 | -9.4 | -6.2 |