Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/11 Game 2
Naoki Setokuma finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Naoki Setokuma's expected points by +36.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 24% | 23% | 26% | 27% | -7.6 | +6.5 | -0.2 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 28% | 24% | 27% | -8.3 | +26.7 | -6.4 | -12.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 14% | 50% | 19% | 18% | +0.2 | +25.4 | -27.9 | +2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 8% | 74% | 6% | 12% | +8.4 | +0.3 | -7.7 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 1,500 | 10% | 75% | 3% | 12% | +0.9 | +5.6 | -5.9 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 6,000 | 8% | 82% | 1% | 9% | -5.4 | -4.9 | -5.1 | +15.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 8% | 76% | 1% | 15% | -2.6 | -33.0 | -0.4 | +36.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 34% | 2% | 56% | -1.7 | +3.6 | +1.7 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 8% | 38% | 2% | 52% | -15.0 | -5.2 | +0.2 | +20.1 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 21% | 1% | 77% | -17.9 | -5.3 | +18.7 | +4.5 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,000 from Koshin Asakura | 0% | 12% | 1% | 87% | -1.8 | -3.1 | -0.3 | +5.2 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 0% | 3% | 0% | 97% | -4.2 | -0.4 | +5.4 | -0.9 |