Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/11 Game 2
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 23% | 24% | 27% | 27% | -4.8 | +6.1 | -2.5 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 7,800 | 19% | 29% | 25% | 27% | -10.1 | +27.5 | -5.8 | -11.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 51% | 18% | 18% | +2.2 | +24.7 | -27.3 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 9% | 73% | 5% | 13% | +7.0 | +1.2 | -7.2 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 1,500 | 10% | 77% | 3% | 10% | +0.9 | +5.9 | -5.7 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 7% | 83% | 2% | 8% | -6.1 | -5.3 | -5.2 | +16.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 7% | 76% | 1% | 16% | +0.1 | -33.0 | -0.6 | +33.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 10% | 35% | 1% | 53% | -2.3 | +2.0 | +1.8 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 8% | 38% | 2% | 52% | -16.3 | -4.2 | -0.1 | +20.7 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 21% | 1% | 78% | -17.7 | -5.8 | +19.7 | +3.8 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,000 from Asakura Koshin | 0% | 12% | 2% | 86% | -2.1 | -1.8 | -1.5 | +5.4 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 4% | 0% | 96% | -3.6 | -0.9 | +5.2 | -0.7 |