Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/14 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +33.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -16.2 | -0.2 | +0.5 | +15.9 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 14% | 24% | 24% | 37% | +0.2 | -33.3 | -0.8 | +33.9 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 10% | 5% | 17% | 68% | +20.2 | +1.6 | -23.3 | +1.5 |
| East 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,300 from Okada Sayaka | 19% | 5% | 6% | 70% | -1.2 | +4.6 | +1.3 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 18% | 6% | 8% | 67% | +2.5 | -5.0 | +0.8 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 20% | 5% | 7% | 68% | +12.6 | -6.8 | -4.2 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 28% | 4% | 5% | 63% | -7.4 | -4.4 | +4.7 | +7.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Takamiya Mari | 17% | 2% | 6% | 75% | +1.1 | +19.0 | -20.3 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Draw | 18% | 4% | 3% | 75% | -2.3 | +0.9 | +3.3 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Draw | 17% | 6% | 4% | 73% | -2.6 | +5.5 | -2.4 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 6 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 7% | 4% | 73% | +23.3 | -4.9 | -12.7 | -5.8 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 38% | 1% | 1% | 59% | -10.6 | -8.9 | -2.3 | +21.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 8% | 0% | 0% | 92% | -3.9 | +1.8 | +0.9 | +1.2 |