Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/14 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+101.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +30.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.0 | -7.7 | +9.8 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 22% | 19% | 32% | 27% | +2.3 | -23.2 | +21.8 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 20% | 7% | 49% | 23% | -0.6 | +0.6 | -6.9 | +7.0 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 21% | 8% | 44% | 28% | -1.8 | -22.5 | +30.9 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 1,500 from Go Kobayashi | 10% | 1% | 77% | 13% | +6.5 | -1.7 | -1.4 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 1% | 73% | 12% | -5.1 | +2.6 | +2.1 | +0.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 1% | 79% | 12% | +2.3 | +2.1 | -2.0 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 3,000 | 10% | 1% | 77% | 12% | -1.9 | +7.6 | -0.9 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 7,700 from Makoto Sawazaki | 10% | 2% | 79% | 10% | -29.1 | +25.8 | +1.4 | +1.9 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 2% | 7% | 81% | 10% | +6.1 | -24.6 | +15.9 | +2.5 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 3% | -8.4 | -7.7 | +25.1 | -9.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0 | +12.5 | -3.3 | -0.2 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Makoto Sawazaki | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -12.8 | +0.2 | 0.0 | +12.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -6.6 | +1.8 | +8.8 | -3.9 |