Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/14 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+101.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +30.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -1.9 | -6.5 | +8.4 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 24% | 21% | 31% | 24% | -0.5 | -23.8 | +21.3 | +3.0 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 20% | 7% | 50% | 24% | +2.2 | -1.6 | -7.7 | +7.2 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 21% | 7% | 42% | 29% | -2.4 | -21.4 | +30.4 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go | 13% | 1% | 73% | 13% | +4.6 | -0.7 | +0.1 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 2% | 74% | 12% | -3.4 | +2.5 | +1.9 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 2% | 79% | 11% | +1.0 | +3.9 | -3.2 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 3,000 | 11% | 3% | 74% | 12% | -2.0 | +7.8 | -1.4 | -4.4 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Sawazaki Makoto | 10% | 3% | 77% | 11% | -27.6 | +25.6 | +2.1 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 3% | 8% | 80% | 9% | +4.8 | -27.0 | +17.5 | +4.7 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 3% | -8.1 | -7.8 | +25.1 | -9.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -9.4 | +13.3 | -3.9 | 0.0 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -12.7 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +12.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -6.4 | +1.7 | +8.8 | -4.0 |