Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/15 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+62.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +19.3 | -8.3 | -4.6 | -6.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 40% | 20% | 21% | 20% | -6.3 | -2.7 | +13.3 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 34% | 19% | 29% | 18% | -1.4 | -21.2 | +20.1 | +2.5 |
| East 3 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 8% | 45% | 18% | -0.3 | -3.7 | -4.0 | +7.9 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 7% | 41% | 22% | -12.6 | -5.0 | +32.2 | -14.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 12% | 3% | 78% | 8% | +6.2 | +2.4 | -3.0 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira ron 1,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 17% | 3% | 74% | 6% | -6.8 | -1.6 | +5.0 | +3.5 |
| South 2 | Wakutsu Akira ron 3,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 7% | 3% | 83% | 6% | -8.2 | -6.0 | +2.4 | +11.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 3% | 0% | 88% | 8% | -6.7 | +0.4 | -1.5 | +7.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 1% | 0% | 90% | 9% | -2.5 | +45.1 | +4.3 | -46.9 |