Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/17 Game 1
Wakutsu Akira finished 1st (+58.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Wakutsu Akira tsumo 5,200, which moved Wakutsu Akira's expected points by +26.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -11.7 | +21.9 | -4.4 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 41% | 21% | 21% | +25.0 | -17.9 | -5.0 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,500 | 35% | 26% | 18% | 21% | +5.6 | +3.5 | -5.3 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 40% | 28% | 15% | 18% | +0.4 | -1.6 | +24.8 | -23.6 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Wakutsu Akira | 39% | 26% | 29% | 6% | +15.2 | -10.0 | -3.2 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 55% | 17% | 24% | 5% | -2.3 | +8.4 | -4.8 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 54% | 21% | 19% | 5% | -4.5 | +10.2 | -1.9 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 48% | 30% | 18% | 4% | +2.7 | -5.1 | -2.1 | +4.5 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 2,000 | 53% | 23% | 18% | 6% | -5.8 | +22.8 | -12.5 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 5,200 | 39% | 53% | 5% | 4% | -14.0 | +26.5 | -2.9 | -9.6 |