Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/18 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Shingo Hori tsumo 7,800, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +24.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +2.4 | +3.1 | -2.6 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 25% | 24% | 23% | -13.7 | -2.3 | +22.2 | -6.2 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 24% | 40% | 18% | -8.4 | -15.0 | +25.3 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 11% | 65% | 15% | +14.1 | -2.0 | -6.0 | -6.1 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 11% | 61% | 12% | -6.3 | +8.3 | +3.2 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 14% | 66% | 8% | -8.8 | +15.6 | -2.1 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 7,800 | 7% | 22% | 64% | 7% | -7.4 | +24.5 | -10.8 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 4% | 46% | 45% | 5% | +18.7 | +5.8 | -20.3 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 61% | 24% | 4% | -5.3 | +4.7 | -4.2 | +4.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 6% | 72% | 14% | 8% | +25.7 | +12.9 | -26.6 | -12.0 |