Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/18 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hori Shingo tsumo 7,800, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +21.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +2.0 | +4.3 | -1.6 | -4.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 28% | 23% | 22% | -14.5 | -5.9 | +23.7 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 22% | 41% | 20% | -6.3 | -13.0 | +23.8 | -4.6 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 11% | 65% | 14% | +13.7 | -3.6 | -5.5 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 10% | 61% | 12% | -5.0 | +9.6 | +1.7 | -6.3 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 14% | 64% | 8% | -11.5 | +15.3 | +0.1 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 22% | 65% | 7% | -6.7 | +21.7 | -9.9 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 4% | 44% | 47% | 6% | +18.2 | +8.8 | -22.4 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 10% | 63% | 22% | 5% | -4.5 | +5.6 | -4.4 | +3.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 7% | 75% | 13% | 6% | +25.2 | +11.5 | -25.7 | -11.0 |