Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/18 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+63.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +26.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -1.8 | -0.5 | +7.9 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 23% | 31% | 24% | -0.6 | +3.8 | -4.3 | +1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 22% | 28% | 26% | 23% | +11.3 | -9.9 | -0.7 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 31% | 20% | 27% | 23% | +7.8 | -2.2 | +0.5 | -6.1 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 37% | 18% | 26% | 19% | -4.8 | -30.0 | -2.2 | +37.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 29% | 6% | 21% | 45% | -0.7 | -2.6 | +16.6 | -13.3 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 5% | 36% | 32% | -11.3 | +16.4 | -1.3 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 11% | 37% | 30% | -19.2 | +60.7 | -21.1 | -20.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 59% | 17% | 15% | -3.0 | +7.5 | -2.9 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,300 from Koshin Asakura | 5% | 68% | 14% | 13% | -7.6 | +1.2 | +8.1 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,800 from Jun Murakami | 3% | 73% | 14% | 10% | -2.1 | -19.0 | +23.2 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800 | 3% | 45% | 40% | 12% | -4.8 | -16.6 | +26.1 | -4.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 15% | 77% | 7% | -0.7 | -3.3 | +6.0 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 1% | 10% | 84% | 5% | -17.9 | -2.2 | +0.3 | +19.8 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Koshin Asakura | 0% | 4% | 86% | 10% | -0.9 | +4.8 | +7.4 | -11.3 |