Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/18 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+63.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +27.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -0.8 | +0.5 | +7.3 | -7.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 24% | 30% | 22% | -4.6 | +3.6 | -2.4 | +3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 21% | 26% | 28% | 24% | +13.3 | -10.1 | -0.8 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 31% | 19% | 28% | 22% | +7.8 | -0.4 | -2.0 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 38% | 18% | 25% | 20% | -6.2 | -29.7 | -1.3 | +37.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 27% | 6% | 21% | 46% | +2.6 | -4.9 | +18.3 | -16.0 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 4% | 37% | 30% | -13.8 | +17.6 | -3.9 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 11% | 35% | 33% | -20.3 | +62.3 | -21.0 | -21.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 61% | 17% | 15% | -2.3 | +6.5 | -1.6 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,300 from Asakura Koshin | 6% | 68% | 14% | 12% | -8.5 | +1.6 | +9.0 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Murakami Jun | 2% | 73% | 15% | 10% | -0.8 | -20.1 | +20.8 | +0.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800 | 4% | 45% | 38% | 13% | -4.7 | -15.6 | +27.4 | -7.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 15% | 77% | 7% | -1.0 | -5.5 | +7.1 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 1% | 8% | 85% | 6% | -17.1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | +17.7 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Asakura Koshin | 0% | 4% | 87% | 9% | -1.4 | +4.5 | +7.1 | -10.2 |