Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/21 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +23.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -23.3 | -2.5 | +2.4 | +23.4 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 22% | 25% | 42% | -8.5 | +34.4 | -14.8 | -11.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 49% | 14% | 30% | -5.2 | -11.7 | -4.5 | +21.4 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 36% | 11% | 49% | -1.1 | -1.5 | -8.8 | +11.4 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 29% | 6% | 62% | -5.4 | -3.6 | +19.8 | -10.9 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 4% | 30% | 14% | 52% | +2.8 | -0.4 | -3.9 | +1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 5,800 from Shingo Hori | 4% | 30% | 12% | 54% | +13.9 | -17.1 | +1.0 | +2.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,500 | 8% | 18% | 14% | 60% | -8.0 | -1.0 | -3.3 | +12.3 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 13% | 9% | 76% | -9.2 | +34.4 | -8.6 | -16.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 1% | 45% | 7% | 48% | -2.8 | -29.1 | +23.5 | +8.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 15% | 17% | 66% | -2.1 | +0.4 | +5.7 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 16% | 22% | 62% | -4.7 | +13.6 | -13.1 | +4.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 23% | 9% | 68% | +0.1 | -6.1 | -6.9 | +12.9 |