Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/21 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +23.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -23.7 | -0.9 | +1.1 | +23.6 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 22% | 24% | 43% | -7.3 | +35.5 | -15.3 | -12.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 50% | 14% | 29% | -5.8 | -13.1 | -3.9 | +22.9 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 35% | 11% | 48% | -0.7 | -2.4 | -7.4 | +10.5 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 29% | 7% | 60% | -8.0 | -4.6 | +21.2 | -8.5 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 4% | 27% | 16% | 54% | +5.2 | +0.7 | -7.5 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 5,800 from Hori Shingo | 5% | 28% | 12% | 55% | +13.4 | -16.5 | +2.2 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,500 | 8% | 18% | 14% | 60% | -8.0 | -2.3 | -2.6 | +13.0 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 13% | 9% | 76% | -8.8 | +36.2 | -9.3 | -18.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 1% | 45% | 7% | 47% | -3.5 | -29.1 | +23.5 | +9.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 15% | 18% | 66% | -2.6 | +0.5 | +5.8 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 17% | 22% | 60% | -4.8 | +13.4 | -12.7 | +4.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 23% | 9% | 68% | +0.4 | -6.1 | -7.4 | +13.1 |