Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/21 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+50.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +21.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +32.9 | -1.4 | -31.6 | 0.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 48% | 20% | 10% | 22% | -2.9 | +0.8 | +2.8 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 21% | 10% | 22% | -3.9 | -11.8 | -5.7 | +21.4 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 14% | 7% | 37% | -0.6 | +10.4 | -8.2 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 20% | 4% | 36% | -5.8 | -4.8 | +20.1 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 39% | 18% | 11% | 31% | -19.5 | -1.2 | -0.7 | +21.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 17% | 11% | 54% | 0.0 | -5.4 | +2.9 | +2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 19% | 10% | 13% | 58% | -3.7 | +10.9 | -9.9 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 12% | 6% | 66% | -10.8 | +9.1 | -12.0 | +13.7 |