Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/22 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +70.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -0.5 | -0.6 | +19.9 | -18.8 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 23% | 23% | 40% | 14% | +1.0 | -2.2 | +2.3 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 20% | 43% | 13% | +0.6 | -1.1 | +2.2 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,800 from Hinata Aiko | 23% | 20% | 45% | 13% | -16.8 | +0.1 | +16.6 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 17% | 61% | 11% | -5.2 | -2.9 | -5.8 | +13.9 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Maehara Yudai | 10% | 17% | 56% | 17% | +15.3 | -15.3 | +2.4 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 17% | 9% | 61% | 14% | -4.8 | -19.7 | +3.1 | +21.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 9% | 3% | 64% | 23% | +3.1 | -7.6 | -1.7 | +6.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 0% | 62% | 28% | -7.0 | -3.7 | -26.0 | +36.8 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 0% | 12% | 85% | +70.0 | -4.4 | -24.9 | -40.6 |