Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/22 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +70.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -1.5 | -0.7 | +20.4 | -18.2 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 22% | 24% | 39% | 15% | +3.8 | -3.0 | +1.6 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 21% | 41% | 14% | -2.4 | -1.3 | +5.1 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,800 from Aiko Hinata | 22% | 20% | 46% | 13% | -15.2 | +0.1 | +16.3 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 16% | 61% | 10% | -4.1 | -4.1 | -6.8 | +15.0 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,200 from Yudai Maehara | 10% | 15% | 57% | 17% | +13.1 | -13.3 | +3.2 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 15% | 10% | 61% | 13% | -4.7 | -20.2 | +0.1 | +24.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 4% | 60% | 27% | +4.9 | -8.4 | -1.1 | +4.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 0% | 59% | 30% | -8.3 | -3.3 | -25.1 | +36.7 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 0% | 11% | 87% | +70.1 | -4.3 | -24.2 | -41.7 |